Listen to Live Jamaican Radio, Listen to Power 106 FM 24x7. Click Here to Listen Free | (Advertisement)
Go-Jamaica
Go-Jamaica
Weather
Weather Home | Gallery | Blog | Hurricane Tips | Hurricane FAQ | Maps

Advisory - Tropical System Grace

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022022
500 AM AST TUE JUN 28 2022

...DISTURBANCE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS, LIKELY
TO BRING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.3N 55.2W
ABOUT 420 MI...680 KM E OF TRINIDAD
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
* GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COAST OF VENEZUELA FROM PEDERNALES TO CUMANA, INCLUDING ISLAS DE
MARGARITA, COCHE, AND CUBAGUA
* BONAIRE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS, THE NORTHERN COAST OF
VENEZUELA, CURACAO, ARUBA, AND THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF COLOMBIA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), THE POORLY DEFINED DISTURBANCE WAS 
CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 9.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 55.2 WEST. THE SYSTEM IS 
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH (37 KM/H). A WESTWARD OR WEST- 
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST 
TRACK, THE SYSTEM WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN 
WINDWARD ISLANDS BY TONIGHT, AND MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN 
SEA OR NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF VENEZUELA ON WEDNESDAY AND 
THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS IF 
THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS OVER WATER.

CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT IF THE DISTURBANCE
REMAINS OVER WATER, AND IT WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
NEAR THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS OR WHILE MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS 
THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...HIGH...90 PERCENT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES (95 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB (29.80 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
KEY MESSAGES FOR POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO CAN BE FOUND IN THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE DISCUSSION UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCDAT2 AND WMO
HEADER WTNT42 KNHC.

RAINFALL: THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE NORTHEASTERN
COAST OF VENEZUELA STARTING TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.  THE FOLLOWING
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED:

ISLANDS FROM GUADELOUPE TO ST. LUCIA: 1 TO 3 INCHES.

ST. VINCENT, THE GRENADINES, AND BARBADOS: 3 TO 5 INCHES.

GRENADA, TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO, AND NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA: 4 TO 6
INCHES.

WIND:  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN 
THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF VENEZUELA 
AND NEARBY ISLANDS TONIGHT, AND IN BONAIRE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY AT 800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

Tropical Storm Grace
Latitude 9.3N
Longitude 55.2W
Maximum Winds 40 MPH
Pressure 1009 MB
Direction/Speed W @ 23 MPH

Last Updated: 500 AM AST



Live Regular updates on Power 106


Caribbean Satellite Now

Caribbean Satellite in Motion


Jamaica Gleaner 2022

The content of this page may have been obtained from several sources. While every care is taken, we do not guarantee the accuracy, timely, current and completeness of the information or content. We do not warrant, nor accept any responsibility for views, opinions, forecasts and information provided or displayed. To the extent that they may not be lawfully excluded, we accept no responsibility for the content. The content should therefore be used for general information only and not for commercial use. You agree that the Gleaner and or it's subsidiaries will in no way be liable to you and or any third party whatsoever as a result of the use of any information on this page. By accessing this page you are deemed to be bound by these terms and conditions.